Mario Valentino Guffanti, (Vice President – SAMT), CFTe (Certified Financial Technician) is a financial advisor and researcher. Vice-president for the Swiss Italian Chapter of SAMT, Swiss Association of Market Technicians, supervising editor of the technical journal. Among his interests, financial coaching through NLP techniques (Neuro-linguistic programming). Teacher in technical analysis, of which he is author of several articles and conference speaker.
While Yields and Commodities are accelerating up, Equities are struggling. Such cross asset developments, especially following the recent surges in risk assets (since early 2016, and then more generally since […]
At the beginning of April, I wrote about short term patterns on the S&P 500 Index and the Stoxx 600 Index. With regard to the stoxx 600 index, I had […]
Triangles are one of the most commons price patterns in Technical Analysis. A symmetrical triangle is formed by a series of price fluctuations, each of which is smaller than its […]
In an almost unnatural situation, with the S&P 500 Index going up whatever happened, at the end of January the correction arrived and the excesses were finally eradicated. But while professional traders had some relief with the arrival of this event, they were also concerned about the way the fall occurred: unexpectedly too fast and deep, almost -12% in a couple of weeks, and with an unthinkable increase in volatility.
At the end of September (1), I wrote an article about the Stoxx 600 Index, indicating several factors of a potential bullish construction, although the relative strength signals versus the MSCI World Index and a weakness of the dollar did not favour the strength of the short-term trend.
After concluding an excellent 2017 and starting the new year on a positive note, Wall Street confirms its strong momentum and the bulls are still controlling the market. Prices move into unexplored territory, there is a plenty of bulls around, the chart pattern of the major indexes reflects a typical sustained trend. As always happens in similar cases, concerns are mounting about the risk of an exhaustion driven market meltdown.
The Swiss Association of Market Technicians (SAMT) is a non-profit organization of market analysis professionals founded in 1987 in Switzerland and member of the International Federation of Technical Analysts (IFTA).
SAMT encourages the development of Technical Analysis and the education of the financial community in the uses and applications of technical research and its value in the formulation of investment and trading decisions.
Technical Analysis is the study of prices and markets. It examines price behavior on an empirical, quantitative and statistical basis. It extends to the study of all published information on price trends, volatility, momentum, cycles and the interrelationship of prices, volume, breadth, sentiment and liquidity. A comprehensive understanding of Technical Analysis requires a knowledge of statistics and pattern recognition, quantitative techniques, algorithmic trading systems, academic studies related to testing procedures and objectives, behavioural finance, investment psychology and a familiarity with financial history and cycles.
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