Expert opinion

Gold fails to break resistance and retreats

The bullion retreated back to near 1,260 levels on Friday morning, as the metal failed to break through the resistance cluster, which it faced on Thursday. Although, the outlook looked bright for the yellow metal on Thursday morning, the metal failed to break through the weekly R2 and monthly S2 near 1,273. Afterwards, even the 200-day SMA failed to support the bullion, which fell and continued the fall on Friday morning to reach the support provided by the weekly R1 at 1,261.62. However, it is still possible at large that the metal will continue to fall during the rest of the day.

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Malta’s RICC regime: the Honeycomb fund services platform (by Zeta)

In recent years Malta has continued to evolve into an ever-stronger and robust financial domicile, attracting financiers and investors alike
This has been catapulted further by the island’s alluring and favourable tax schemes coupled by new approaches to fund management and investment schemes in its on-going determination to find innovative means to find dynamic, business-friendly solutions for business people.

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The schizhophrenic economy

According to the FED, the recovery after the crisis of 2008 is coming along nicely although it is a bit slower in Europe. The FOMC is still debating whether a rise in interest rates is indicated, and December seems to be the right month for another rise of 25 basis points.

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Emerging Markets and Commodities. Still Room for Progress

It has been a quite difficult year for stocks markets so far. Despite the barely positive performance of the Standard & Poor’s 500, a modest 4% since January, the European indexes still show an average loss of -7%. Japan is registering a double digit loss, just compensated by a rise in the currency that turns into neutral its performance when calculated in US dollars. The good surprise of 2016 comes from the emerging markets, usually very volatile and vulnerable to global uncertainties. After underperforming for years, the emerging markets are in good shape, in the middle of a bull trend that has started from the major bottom of last January. Since the beginning of 2016, the MSCI Emerging market index, total return in US dollars, has grown 15%, a much more consistent 33% when measured from the January’s low.

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A low point on the rates? part 2

In an environment of low global growth and slight deflation, high yield corporate bonds continue to offer attractive return prospects as long the current low default rate remains. Moreover, the distortions prompted by the ECB’s asset purchasing programme are causing a crowding out effect and accentuating a steeper credit curve. Time is notably an ally in this configuration, as it speeds up a positive carry!

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A low point in the rates?

In September, the main focus was once again the central banks, the ECB first of all, then the Bank of Japan and the Fed. Expectations were high in all three cases. To announce additional monetary easing in the first two, and guidance on anticipations and credibility in the third. The first two disappointed the market, announcing measures that fell well short of investor anticipations. Already in July, the BoJ opted to keep things as they stood even though a large proportion of investors expected to see further monetary easing. The Fed, for its part, struggled to overcome internal divisions and look beyond a month-by-month horizon, at the risk of making mistakes in its growth projections and damaging its credibility.

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