Expert opinion

The common European currency is between two strong clusters against the US Dollar on Monday, as the currency exchange rate previously on Friday retreated from the 1.12 level by the end of day’s trading session. However, the resistance from the upside is stronger, as the support cluster, and the daily aggregate technical indicators forecast a fall for the currency exchange rate during today’s trading session. Due to that, it is most likely that the Euro will depreciate against the Greenback by the end of Monday’s trading.

Japanese household spending continued to decline in July as the strongest labor market in at least two decades failed to boost wage growth significantly. Household spending fell 0.5% year-on-year in July, according to Japan’s Statistics Bureau, the fifth-consecutive decline and the 21st month out of the last 24 that spending has fallen. Analysts had expected spending to fall 1.3% in July.

Long regarded as the jewel in the crown of Swiss telecoms, Swisscom is under pressure from growing competition and a saturated market. Swisscom shares have fallen by more than 20% since the peak of 2014 and by 7% since the beginning of the year compared to its direct competitor Sunrise, up 16% in 2016. The “blue giant” has certainly reached a size which reduces its potential for growth, but its revenues are stable, and its dividend of almost 5% makes it an attractive investment.

The yellow metal stopped the fluctuations around the 1,340 level, in which it had been in for the past weeks, as the metal fell on Wednesday due to being pressured by the 20-day SMA from the downside. In the fall the bullion almost reached the weekly S2 at 1,322.63 and ended the session at 1,326.32. On Thursday morning gold has rebounded against the weekly support level and slightly surged, as it has encountered the 55-day SMA at 1,327.31. As the metal is pressured between the two levels, it is most likely going to remain unchanged during today’s trading session.

The Kiwi surged mid-Tuesday against the US Dollar, as the currency exchanged rate traded at 0.7295 by 11:15 GMT, compared the opening rate of 0.7212. The rate is most likely to continue to surge at least 40 pips in the near future, as it faces only the upper Bollinger band at 0.7312 until it would reach the 0.7337 level, where the weekly R1 is located at. In addition, the surge was and still is supported by the daily and weekly aggregate technical indicators. Moreover, the pair is still in an ascending channel pattern, as it rebounded against the lower trend line on July 25 at 0.6997.

With an increase of more than 25% since the beginning of the year, gold has continued to climb and will probably not stop there.

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Support at 100.70 holds, meaning there is still a good chance of a rally, first up to 103 and then up to 105 yen. The former resistance is created by the monthly pivot point, while the latter a lot denser supply zone is much less likely to let the price increase further. There the bulls will encounter the six-month down-trend and the 55-day SMA. Alternatively, if the scenario suggested by the indicators materialises and both 100.70 and 100 fall victim to the selling pressure, we will expect a bullish correction to start only circa 97 yen, when the rate meets the lower bound of the bearish channel.