On Friday morning the yellow metal’s price remained rather unchanged, as the bullion fluctuated just above the 1,225 mark. Previously, during Thursday’s trading session the bullion extended the gains, which it scored on the Federal Reserve’s rate hike. However, at the 1,233.59 mark the bullion encountered the resistance of a medium term descending channel, which proved strong enough to cause a minor decline in the commodity price. It is most likely that the bullion will make another attempt to break higher, as on Friday morning the decline has stopped, and the yellow metal has begun to approach the weekly R1, which is located at the 1,228.89 level.
During the early hours of Thursday’s trading session the yellow metal’s price slipped even further lower, as the price reached below the 1,205 level. However, the bullion managed to find support in a speculative and before the recent moves unconfirmed long term lower trend line of a large scale ascending channel pattern. Due to that reason traders should look at whether a proper rebound occurs, as from the upside there is a strong resistance cluster, which could keep the commodity price lower in the future sessions.
The yellow metal has suffered major losses and is still positioned to fall even further, as by the end of Thursday’s trading session a massive and strong support cluster was passed. During the early hours of Friday’s trading session the bullion attempted to break above the cluster near the 1,235 level, but it failed and began to decline. Due to that reason it can be assumed that the Bullion will continue lower, as the range down to the 1,219.20 level, where the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level is located at, is free from any other support levels.
The Euro continued to book gains against the US Dollar during the early hours of Friday’s trading session, as the currency exchange rate attempted to break through the resistance put up by the 55-day SMA, which was located at 1.0593. The pair already attempted to move higher during Thursday’s trading. However, it failed to pass the SMA. Due to that and the fact that the weekly PP is located just above the SMA at 1.0604, it is most likely that the currency pair will fail once more and retreat lower by the end of Friday’s trading session.
The GBP/USD pair erased most of Friday’s losses yesterday, successfully climbing over the 1.2450 level, thus, breaching the immediate resistance area. Now the British currency is being supported by a strong demand area around the 1.24 major level, with the weekly PP just being a minor nuisance located at 1.2449. Technically, the Cable should remain above the 1.24 mark today and pave its way towards retaking the 1.25 handle. However, technical indicators are still unable to confirm the possibility of the positive outcome, leaving the door open for another leg down.
The yellow metal traded rather flat on Friday morning, as it found support in the monthly R1, which is located at 1,237.68. The bullion retreated to that level after it stopped and reversed its surge in the second half of Thursday’s trading session. Gold has two possible future scenarios. Either the bullion finds enough strength in the support level to rebound and approach the 1,245 level, or the yellow metal will fail at that and begin a move lower. A move lower would result in a fall to the weekly PP, which is located at 1,232.24.
No matter how strong the technical perspective of a Gold surge can be, changes in the fundamental situation of the US Dollar are capable of destroying any kind of forecast, by changing the whole base of the markets. Due to a decision made by the President of US Donald Trump, the yellow metal fell on Thursday and continued to do so on Friday. If the situation persists, the bullion will fall at least to the 1,219.20 mark, where the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level is located at. On the other hand, the yellow metal might rally and surge back up to the weekly R1 at 1,233.81.
Even though the European single currency edged higher against the Japanese Yen on Wednesday, it was unable to maintain trade above the 122.00 mark, with the resistance cluster there pushing the exchange rate down again. As a result, this cluster caused the EUR/JPY cross to make a U-turn and begin moving towards the 121.20 psychological support. Technical indicators, however, are unable to confirm the possibility of the negative outcome, as they keep giving bullish signals. In this case the 121.60 handle should be considered as a possible support, as it kept the Euro from sliding down for a whole week now, suggesting trade could close above this area.
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