Support at 100.70 holds, meaning there is still a good chance of a rally, first up to 103 and then up to 105 yen. The former resistance is created by the monthly pivot point, while the latter a lot denser supply zone is much less likely to let the price increase further. There the bulls will encounter the six-month down-trend and the 55-day SMA. Alternatively, if the scenario suggested by the indicators materialises and both 100.70 and 100 fall victim to the selling pressure, we will expect a bullish correction to start only circa 97 yen, when the rate meets the lower bound of the bearish channel.

The number of people filing for unemployment benefits in the United States last week rose more than expected, fresh figures from the Department of Labor revealed on Thursday. Initial jobless claims grew by 14,000 to 266,000 in the week ended July 23, compared to the previous week’s revised figure of 252,000, while market analysts expected jobless claims to rise by 9,000 to 261,000 in the reported week.

The unemployment rate in the UK fell to its lowest level in more than a decade in May, a sign the labor market continued to strengthen in the run-up to Britain’s referendum on membership of the European Union, while average weekly earnings edged up in the same month. The unemployment rate in the UK came in at 4.9% in the fifth month of the year, unaffected by the Brexit fears before the referendum. The unemployment rate in the UK measured on a three months moving average basis, therefore, fell below the level of the natural, or non-inflationary, unemployment level of 5.0% estimated by the Bank of England.

Pair’s Outlook
The yellow metal fell on Monday, as it started day’s trading session at 1,367.53 and ended Monday’s trading at 1,354.86. Although, it was the fourth consecutive session, when the bullion had reached above the 1,370 level, it seems to have finally rebounded, as the metal is now trading below the weekly PP at 1,358.76. If gold moves lower, it is set to meet the weekly S1 at 1,342.44, against which it might rebound and continue its streak of gains.

UK manufacturing and industrial production data came in ahead of expectations for May, with both figures a big beat on the forecasts of economists. Manufacturing production decreased 0.5% on a monthly basis in May, down from April when it rebounded 2.3%, while the indicator came in at 1.7% on a yearly basis in the same month. Both readings beat the estimates of -1.2% and 0.6%, respectively. Overall industrial output fell 0.5% on a monthly basis in May, after a revised rebound of 2.1% seen in April. The reading did, however, beat the forecast of a negative 1.0%. On an annual basis, the gauge rebounded 1.4% in the fifth month of the year, while markets had bet on a 0.5% advance in the reported month. Industrial and manufacturing production show the volume of production in the UK’s industrial and manufacturing sector, and the indicators have been volatile since the beginning of the year.

According to the Ifo Institute of Economic Research, German business sentiment improved in June, despite all the turmoil caused by the EU referendum in UK. Economists were expecting the reading to disappoint, falling from 107.70 to 107.50, while the actual result was 108.7 points.

The German Business Climate is calculated by a number of surveys from different firms and companies in a handful of sectors, such as construction, wholesales, manufacturing, retailing, services, which altogether provide insight on the German economy. The given release is important, as it tends to also provide a preliminary forecast for future economic activity and the economic conditions in the Eurozone overall. Furthermore, the survey consists of approximately seven thousand businesses, which are asked to assess the economic outlook for the upcoming six months.

Pair’s Outlook
The Cable managed to erase intraday losses and trade flat on Thursday, amid two main opposing referendum groups suspending their campaigns. The main support area, represented by the Bollinger band, the monthly S2 and the weekly S1 was confirmed once more, suggesting that a drop below the 1.41 level is doubtful, at least for now. However, technical indicators insist the GBP/USD pair is to continue weakening today. With no solid fundamental impetus present, the Sterling has the potential to erase this week’s losses completely, but only if the immediate resistance in face of the monthly S1 at 1.4288 gives in.

According to the latest report, the US crude futures advanced for a third consecutive day on Wednesday, reaching new 2016 highs. The US benchmark posting a nearly 11-month closing record. On the New York Mercantile Exchange, West Texas Intermediate crude for July delivery added +0.62% and rose 87 cents, or 1.7%, to settle at $51.23-showing the highest close for a nearby contract since July 15. Meanwhile, August Brent crude, increased 0.42% the global oil benchmark, reaching $1.07, or 2.1%, to finish at $52.51 a barrel on London’s ICE Futures exchange, its highest close since October. According to the analysts, futures were affected in a positive way boosted by reports of another attack on oil facilities in Nigeria. They were also buoyed by data from an industry trade group, the American Petroleum Institute, which on Tuesday said that US crude inventories had fallen by 3.6 million barrels. Also, crude found support from continued supply disruptions, as well as China import data and a decline in crude inventories.