Are we seeing Brexit jitters at work now? Whilst UK consumers remain resolutely upbeat about their personal financial situation, concerns about prospects for the general economic situation continue to dampen our mood" – GFK
European stocks continued to be mixed fluctuating between gains and looses. Meanwhile, European leaders had a meeting in Brussels on Friday in an attempt to hammer out a deal with Turkey that would
relocate thousands of migrants from Greece to Turkey. In return, Turkish citizens would be granted the ability to travel within the European Union without visas.
During previous days, the observed currencies managed to go through some notable ups and downs.
"The economy’s engines are not going into reverse … but at the moment, it is hard to see GDP with a 2 percent handle. Based on today’s lackluster sales report, policymakers will be in no hurry to raise interest rates"
The Sterling refuses to edge lower and appears to be headed towards the resistance line above 1.49. However, the Cable is first required to pierce through the supply area at 1.4446, represented by the monthly R1, which limited the pair’s volatility on Friday. The 1.44 psychological level is also playing a part in the pair’s ability to appreciate, thus, due to no impetus present to push the Pound higher today. As a result, a corrective decline is likely to take place, but the bearish momentum could fail to exceed the 1.4345 mark, as the 55-day SMA and the weekly PP are providing immediate support there.
A broad buoyant sentiment pushed the precious metal to fresh 13-month highs by Friday morning. Yesterday the bullion’s selloff was successfully limited by the February uptrend below 1,240, and later moderately hawkish remarks by the ECB President Draghi resulted in a surge above 1,270. For now we see the weekly R1 as the first reliable resistance for the remaining 24 hours of this week’s trading, with monthly R1 at 1,295 acting as the second supply level. As daily and weekly technical indicators are mostly bullish, we assume that gradual price increases will stay in place.
The bears performed strongly until the beginning of US session on Wednesday when EUR/USD managed to erode losses and bounce back to 1.10. In the morning on Thursday we see another round of selling pressure, but movements remain quite hesitant. It is all about the ECB meeting today. In December EUR/USD had spiked on disappointment. Bearish outcome of the gathering may send the pair well down to 1.08, in move that is estimated by daily technical indicators. However, the bulls will try to catch the first monthly resistance at 1.1227 in case there is dissatisfaction with the ECB’s policy.
The US economy created more jobs than expected in February, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged, highlighting the ongoing improvement in the labour market. US non-farm payrolls increased by 242,000 last month, compared with economists’ expectations for 195,000 new jobs, according to the Labor Department. Moreover, the previous two months’ revisions were positive, adding a net 30,000 uncounted jobs.
