The European Central Bank (ECB) will accept again the government bonds of Greece to junk status as collateral in refinancing operations. The decision to reopen a source of funding, remained closed for 16 months, should help restore confidence in the greek banking sector and, according to several economists and bankers, could lead to a partial removal of capital controls in the coming days.
The ECB is ready for any eventuality, even if Brexit, President Mario Draghi said. And even the Fed, the President Janet Yellen said, is ready to act after the vote if necessary.
In his speech to the European Parliament, Draghi said that "the recovery of the euro area has gained momentum at the beginning of the year. It is expected to proceed at a moderate but steady pace, supported by strong domestic demand and transmission of our dal’efficace real economy "policy. He added that the inflation dynamics remain "fairly subdued" and that will remain low in the coming months.
Ads by Mario Draghi, who has coaxed the bankers with borrowed money supply not only at no cost, but even negative interest, the ECB moves to implementation of the plan: the European central bank is ready to pay European finance institutions to lend them money, provided that end up channeled to the real economy.
The new Tiltro plan provides that the interest rate will depend on the behavior of the bank and the use we make of that money. If it acts as always, he will not pay interest; but if the bank increase its lending by at least 2.5%, it will be the ECB to pay the bank, up to 0.4%.
George Soros takes the field in the referendum of June 23 in Britain and expresses clear opionion about the scenario of a possible Brexit, convinced that the pound would lose "at least 15%, but perhaps even more ‘than 20%", descending to parity with the euro. It would be a paradoxical joining the single European currency, with a devaluation with no benefit to the UK economy.
The forecast comes from the financier who in 1992 thanks to his bet on the devaluation of the British currency managed to make "substantial profits" for his hedge fund "at the expense of the Bank of England and the British Government", as noted by Soros in an editorial the ‘Guardian’. "It ‘s almost certain that the pound would drop quickly and abruptly" in case of victory of the’ Leave ‘in the referendum of June 23, and it would be a 15% devaluation of the "most disruptive and more" which took place in September 1992, Soros writes which is considering the pound falling from the current $ 1.46 to "below $ 1.15," then by 25-30% below the pre-referendum range between 1.50 and $ 1.60.
The Quantitative easing program of the European Central Bank could help bolster the eurozone economy. As stated in the monthly report, the Central Bank of Germany points out that, if inflation will return to 2%, the ECB will have to start a normalization of its monetary policy process "regardless of the status of public finances and the level of financial stability."
Previously, the Bundesbank had been strongly opposed to the quantitative easing program launched by ECB 15 months ago, as it was feared that such an intervention would eventually reduce pressures on euro zone governments, urging them to slow down on reforms.
The introduction of the new 50-euro banknote will be shortly. The European Central Bank (ECB) and the national central banks (NCBs) of the euro area, which together form the Eurosystem, will present the bill in the series "Europa" on 5th July while its entry into service is scheduled for spring of 2017.
"The Eurosystem and its industry partners have launched a timely preparations for the introduction of the new banknote of 50 Euros, to ensure that companies are ready and the public can use the new notes everywhere and without any problems from the day of putting them into circulation, "said Ton Roos, head of the Directorate Banknotes ECB.Among the banknote denominations in the euro from 50 euro is the most widely used. Over 8 billion euro banknotes, or about 45% of the currently outstanding, belong to this denomination.
The killing of the British MEP Jo Cox anti-Brexit froze the election campaign, at least for a day. But the IMF has launched a new alarm about the dangers caused by the possible exit of Britain from the European Union, stating that there would be a recession early as next year, with GDP in 2017 under the adverse scenario is expected at -0.8% and they would return to grow, deficit, debt and unemployment. Note that the baseline scenario foresaw a growth of 2.2% and the base case of intermediate impact + 1.4%
The new estimates of the Swiss central bank sees inflation mark an acceleration faster over the next few quarters. In the note accompanying the announcement of monetary policy, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has revised upwards its estimates for 2016 and 2017 with consumer price index -0.4% respectively (from -0.8% indicated last March) and + 0.3% (from the previous + 0.1%). however confirmed the estimate for 2018 to + 0.9%. The upside of the estimates primarily reflects the significant increase in oil prices over the past three months.
