GBP

Brexit: red alarm for UK in case of leaving EU

The UK national income could lose 6% by 2030 if the UK really leave the EU in a referendum on Brexit of 23 June. In late hours Ministry of the Treasury’ s report of 200 pages, anticipated by the media and already contesato by Eurosceptics, has released the alarm. The traces the relationship of Britain shock scenario, hit in its vital business interests and impoverished its people for decades, once consumed the hypothetical divorce from Brussels.

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Transport, Property, Leisure Firms Most Exposed to Brexit

The impact of Britain’s exit from the European Union would be broadly negative for UK corporates, with the transport, property and leisure industries at most risk along with smaller retailers, Fitch Rating says. In contrast, some exporters would benefit from moderate sterling depreciation, as long as a new trade deal was swiftly negotiated.

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Hawkish FOMC to trigger USD rally

The focus today is first on the US CPI release and then the Federal Open Market Committee meeting later. The market is looking for a core CPI reading of +2.2%, unchanged from the January reading. The post-global financial crisis high for a single month was 2.3% back in April, 2012.

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GBP/USD to remain under 1.44

The Sterling refuses to edge lower and appears to be headed towards the resistance line above 1.49. However, the Cable is first required to pierce through the supply area at 1.4446, represented by the monthly R1, which limited the pair’s volatility on Friday. The 1.44 psychological level is also playing a part in the pair’s ability to appreciate, thus, due to no impetus present to push the Pound higher today. As a result, a corrective decline is likely to take place, but the bearish momentum could fail to exceed the 1.4345 mark, as the 55-day SMA and the weekly PP are providing immediate support there.

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