Metals

With an increase of more than 25% since the beginning of the year, gold has continued to climb and will probably not stop there.

Any decision on finance by the tycoon George Soros never goes unnoticed. As reported by the mandatory reporting to the US exchange, Soros Fund Management LLC, the fund managed by the entrepreneur 86-year-old, has increased its short position in the S & P 500, the benchmark index of US stocks, accumulating put options corresponding to approximately 4 million shares , almost double the 2.1 million shares held on 31 March.
Hard to say if it’s real short positions, as they may be simple hedging positions (hedging) of equity securities. The fact is that an indication that we can deduce is quite clear: the expert does not expect an imminent for the US stock market rally.

Glencore still in the midst of the crisis: the Zug-based giant in fact restricted even further their mining activities in the first six months of the year. The own copper production fell by 4% to 703’000 tons for coal, the decline was 14% to 58.8 million tons and zinc decreased by 31% to 506’500 tons.

With regard to oil extraction, it was limited to 4.4 million barrels in order to preserve stocks ahead of a hydrocarbon of the price increase, it said in a note today; Glencore has thus postponed the new mining activities. In contrast however the extraction of nickel, grew during the review period by 17%

Pair’s Outlook
The yellow metal fell on Monday, as it started day’s trading session at 1,367.53 and ended Monday’s trading at 1,354.86. Although, it was the fourth consecutive session, when the bullion had reached above the 1,370 level, it seems to have finally rebounded, as the metal is now trading below the weekly PP at 1,358.76. If gold moves lower, it is set to meet the weekly S1 at 1,342.44, against which it might rebound and continue its streak of gains.

The Russian state budget for 2017-2019 should be formed based on a scenario that takes into account the worldwide price of oil and the sanctions imposed in Moscow. This was stated by Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev.

"I have held several sessions, in which we discussed common approaches to the formation of the working budget. There are several development scenarios. But there is a common understanding that during the drafting of the budget is necessary to rely on a traditional approach or if you will, a pessimistic scenario on issues relating to factors that generate our budget "looking in particular" oil prices, the prices of other raw materials, as well as restrictions of sanctions that are still in force", adding that the Russian government could discuss the draft budget for 2017-2019 in October.

While analysts and traders from New York to London predict a further rise in gold, one of the veterans of the investment, Jim Rogers, states that, after the Brexit, prefers to focus on the dollar as a safe haven and not on the yellow metal.

Rogers, like George Soros, was among the founders of the Quantum Fund, the legendary US fund that in the 1970-1980 decade earned 4,200% while the S & P was only 47% advanced. It’s also the father of the Rogers International Commodities Index (Rici) at the end of the nineties and works as guest professor teaches finance at Columbia Business School.

Iran will sell its oil only accepting Euros as payment, thus cutting out the US dollar; the announcement was made by the Oil Minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh, the Iranian all-news network Irinn.

The choice of a country member of OPEC, the separation from the American currency, it would be the first attempt to do so after several replacement hypothesis; Iran exports 2.3 million barrels per day since part of the Western sanctions were removed.

The Russian giant Rosnet oil could fall into Chinese or Indian hands. According to reports from Bloomberg, Vladimir Putin is thinking of selling the idea to consolidate public finances weighed down by oil prices to a minimum. In a context aggravated by European sanctions and counter-moves by the Federation, that have accelerated a crisis that would require budget cuts difficult to achieve, according to the rumor reported by Bloomberg, the Kremlin is seeking a buyer for the 19.5% of the leaders of the Rosneft oil, and he would be just trying to place it in a joint venture between the Chinese and Indians. The revenues expected from the partial privatization of at least 700 billion ribli ($ 11 billion).