Metals

The decision to keep rates on hold by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has saved the market from shock as the Fed Fund Futures market indicated only a very small […]

Gold prices have risen year-to-date by roughly $200 an ounce, impressive at close to 20%, as investors repriced the risk of a negative tail event and increased the odds of […]

A broad buoyant sentiment pushed the precious metal to fresh 13-month highs by Friday morning. Yesterday the bullion’s selloff was successfully limited by the February uptrend below 1,240, and later moderately hawkish remarks by the ECB President Draghi resulted in a surge above 1,270. For now we see the weekly R1 as the first reliable resistance for the remaining 24 hours of this week’s trading, with monthly R1 at 1,295 acting as the second supply level. As daily and weekly technical indicators are mostly bullish, we assume that gradual price increases will stay in place.

Bearish consolidation for Gold
– Gold’s bullish momentum keeps going despite yesterday’s consolidation. Hourly resistance is given at 1279 (04/03/2015 high). Hourly supports lies at 1250 (04/03/2016 low). Expected to show continued strengthening.
– In the long-term, the technical structure suggests that there is a growing upside momentum. A break of 1392 (17/03/2014) is necessary ton confirm it, A major support can be found at 1045 (05/02/2010 low).

Gold posted steep declines on Friday (26 Feb.), falling as upbeat data from the US renewed optimism over the strength of the country’s economy and raised concerns that the Federal Reserve might return on the path of raising interest rates in 2016, driving the Dollar much higher.

Now things are changing, as more central banks are starting to charge institutional depositors instead of paying them. In theory, it’s just another step in efforts to prod economic growth by making borrowing cheap, or encouraging those with cash to use it rather than store it. But “negative” interest rates are something of an unknown quantity, making many wonder if the policy could backfire.

– Gold’s bullish momentum faded ahead of key resistance at 1253. The metal is pushing slightly higher. Hourly supports lies at 1211 (26/02/2016 low). Daily resistance can be found at 1263 (11/02/2016 high).
– In the long-term, the technical structure suggests that there is a growing upside momentum. A break of 1392 (17/03/2014) is necessary ton confirm it, A major support can be found at 1045 (05/02/2010 low).

Commodity markets may be close to their most attractive ever after continued levels of bearishness.