Emerging Markets and Commodities. Still Room for Progress

It has been a quite difficult year for stocks markets so far. Despite the barely positive performance of the Standard & Poor’s 500, a modest 4% since January, the European indexes still show an average loss of -7%. Japan is registering a double digit loss, just compensated by a rise in the currency that turns into neutral its performance when calculated in US dollars. The good surprise of 2016 comes from the emerging markets, usually very volatile and vulnerable to global uncertainties. After underperforming for years, the emerging markets are in good shape, in the middle of a bull trend that has started from the major bottom of last January. Since the beginning of 2016, the MSCI Emerging market index, total return in US dollars, has grown 15%, a much more consistent 33% when measured from the January’s low.

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